Tuesday, June 25, 2002

One other thing I made a promise to myself to NEVER AGAIN bet on a tip unless it was backed by a tipster with a profitable record. This was after I backed Coutelot to beat Ferrero after I had a hot tip that Ferrero was injured and had to go to hospital. Well guess what? I fucked up. The COACH of Spadea said that he didn't think Spadea could beat Larsson at Wimbledon. This wasn't on the media but on a private punting forum. Well, Spadea won. Damnit let that be a lesson to me.

Made a truckload of bets today. Eight from tennispicks.com and five form onthepunt. Only one bet I didn't take that was Bjorkmann to beat Hewitt. I already have a "free" outright from Sportingodds.com on Bjorkmann so I can hedge him later if he does the unthinkable and actually wins. My policy is low volume betting so I sit here now asking why did I make so many bets? Saw a great gambling movie last night the main character asks "Why bet unless you're sure you are going to win?"

So am I sure that I'm going to win? A lot of the bets are accumulators on short priced favourites. I like those. A lot. Some of the other bets are on slight dogs. My reasoning is I'll take them all and cancel them later if I need to. Godwin fairly comfortable. Labadze fairly comfortable although may end up cancelling this one. Not too sure about Sluiter at the moment I like his write up, Robredo not too strong but may end up cancelling this one as well. Also took a bet on Germany because the refereeing should be a lot better tonight. Am I 100% confident? I have to say no...although I was 100% confident on Spain and Italy and look where that got me!!

Good profits today. Onthepunt was firing +15 units. Unfortunately, actual profit was only +10 units or so. Reason? New tipster found www.tennispicks.com. Unfortunately some of his picks clashed with www.sportsbettingindex.com. So I didn't take one of tennispick's (winning) multis. From now on will have to abandon www.sportsbettingindex.com. Why?

(a) A lot of the profits are made from "1 minute" prices that don't last very long at all
(b) Don't have access to a lot of bookmakers

I really like the look of tennispicks.com because they're making profits with terrible prices from interwetten.